Martin Fletcher and Jan Raath in Harare
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Zimbabwe’s power-sharing deal is close to collapse after only 12 days because Robert Mugabe and his generals are determined to thwart it, Western diplomats said yesterday.
“We are looking at the possibility of this thing failing,” a senior diplomat told The Times as Mr Mugabe demanded an end to the “illegal and unilateral” sanctions at the UN General Assembly in New York last night. Another gave the deal a mere 25 per cent chance of survival, saying Mr Mugabe had entered it in bad faith and had duped the opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai.
Both gave warning of catastrophe if the deal collapsed. One spoke of Zimbabwe’s “final implosion”, with “Ethiopian-style” mass starvation and another million desperate people flooding into neighbouring countries.
They said that Mr Mugabe believed he could flout the agreement with impunity because the world was distracted: the West was facing economic meltdown, Washington had a presidential election looming, Gordon Brown was fighting for survival and Thabo Mbeki, the former South African President who brokered the deal, had been ousted.
Nearly two weeks after the agreement was signed Mr Mugabe’s Zanu (PF) party and Mr Tsvangirai’s Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) have failed even to agree a division of ministries, with Zanu (PF) demanding every key portfolio.
Mr Tsvangirai told Western officials in Harare that the MDC had ceded the Defence Ministry, which controls the Army, and the dreaded Central Intelligence Organisation to Mr Mugabe. Zanu (PF) is also demanding the Home Affairs Ministry, which would give Mr Mugabe control of the police, and the Finance Ministry, which would leave it in charge of the devastated Zimbabwean economy.
“Zanu wants everything,” said one of those present, adding that the officials had urged Mr Tsvangirai to show less trust and “more spine”.
Speaking at the UN Mr Mugabe said that he would respect the power-sharing deal. “My party Zanu (PF) will abide by the letter and spirit of the agreement to which we have appended our signature,” he said. He blamed sanctions for the “humanitarian emergency” that has caused “untold suffering to millions”, and defended the seizures of white-owned farms as land reform carried out in the interests of sustainable development.
Mr Mugabe and his party have shown contempt for the deal from the outset. In a televised speech the octogenarian President insisted that Zanu (PF) remained in the driving seat and “would not tolerate any nonsense from our new partners”.
In a pseudonymous newspaper column George Charamba, his spokesman, insisted that Mr Mugabe remained the head of state and government, said that Zanu (PF) had to learn to govern with “the enemy now within” and spoke of war if the MDC tried to reverse land seizures. The diplomats said Mr Mugabe was under pressure from his generals, who felt he had sold out. One added: “Mugabe was never going to give up power quietly.”
Zimbabwe’s neighbours in the Southern African Development Community have asked Mr Mbeki to continue monitoring the agreement. While some observers believe that his removal from the presidency robbed Mr Mugabe of his protector, the diplomats said that it had neutered the one man who could have forced Mr Mugabe to honour the deal.
Unless Mr Mugabe cedes real power the West will not give Zimbabwe the billions of dollars it needs to rebuild an economy crippled by inflation running at 40 million per cent, the flight of four million of its citizens, and a desperate food and fuel shortage.
Save the Children said that Zimbabwean children were eating rats and inedible roots riddled with toxic parasites to stave off hunger. A diplomat said that the Government needed 850,000 tonnes of grain to avert famine but had just 75,000 tonnes left.
In an interview with the Associated Press yesterday Mr Mugabe accused Britain and America of “waiting for a day when this evil man called Robert Mugabe is no longer in control”.
Had he thought of resigning?
“No — or of dying.”
The long negotiation
September 9 Thabo Mbeki mediates in new round of talks between MDC and Mugabe
September 11 Tsvangirai says that a power-sharing deal is reached
September 15 The power-sharing deal is signed officially
September 17 The Parliamentary Affairs Minister announces that constitutional changes are needed before deal can come into effect
September 18, 19 Zanu (PF) attempts to hold all key ministries
September 19 Joseph Msika, the Vice-President, left in charge when Mugabe attends UN meeting
September 20 The state-owned newspaper The Herald suggests that Mugabe still holds power
September 21 Mbeki resigns as President of South Africa
Source: Times archives
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MDC-T if they allow Mugabe to have his way and still be part of this deal,that will be the end of MDC in Zimbabwe.If Mugabe refuses to give the key ministries to MDC,Tsvangirai must pull out of the deal.Remember what happaned to Nkomo and so far its clear the Devil will never change.
godfrey, Leicester, uk
So much for sanctions.
Can the American Goverment expalin how Mugabe is able to attend functions AND stay in the States until OCTOBER for his annual medical checkups??? Us former Rhodesians can see which end is up.You lot wouldnt know HOW to impose sanctions unless it was against the whites..Sad...
Dick Sweeny, London, England
Control of the Defence, Home Affairs and Finance ministeries was always going to provide a barometer of whether Morgan Tsvangirai and the MDC were ever to be given any "real power" in the so called "power sharing agreement". The fact that they remain under Mugabe speaks volumes and spells doom.
Chum McCormack, Nantwich, UK
Remember what happened to Joshua Nkomo, someone should remind Mr. Tsvangirai about that.
Stewie O' Riordan, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
Fascinating that Mugabe is more interested in getting sanctions on himself and his cronies lifted than getting aid to the starving people under his power.
The sanctions should stay in place but aid should be sent in under armed guard.
Adrian, London, UK
The majority of those posting comments, are foreigners who are obsessed with hate of Mugabe and ZANU(PF). For those of us who have worked, lived in Zimbabwe and many countries in Africa, your statements remain dreams. The GNU is the best Xmas gift I have and we will make it work. Bury your hate.
Phibian, Kampala, Uganda
Sometimes I think it's just a waste of time talking about this pathetic dictator called Mugabe. He will never change and Tsvangirai was a fool to to give in to this so called agreement. Mugabe is just using the MDC as a means to get Western aid because Zim is nose diving into an economic meltdown.
Gil, Funchal, Portugal
I believe Kenya has set a wrong trend (where those in power would cheat in view that there will be power-sharing govt), this is contaminating African minds & somehow we need to STOP these actions. Mbeki could have asked for a proper run of elections with every security+observers' mission we can find
Badman, Gaborone, Botswana
Is there any country in Africa which is stable? How long will it take for Zimbabwe to become a decent country to live in? Will South Africa be in line to become the next disaster in Africa? What will be the excuse for Mugabe in the eyes of other African countries.?
Derek, Mebane, USA
You say 'let the Africans sort it out'. The problem is that the Africans themselves could not care less - so long as they can keep control in their own country, by whatever means, then what happens in Zimbabwe, Sudan, Kenya, etc., etc., etc ., is of no importance.
Dave, Newry, Co. Down, Northern Ireland
Mugabe has 2 important priorities to reach. Firstly, in Feb 2009 he reaches the age of 85 and so cannot be indicted for crimes against humanity by the International Court in the Hague.
Secondly, he needs a few more months to steal the rest of the remaining white owned farms.
Only 6 months to do it
Gil, Funchal, Portugal
Mugabe, he should be arrested while he's in New York. He should be tried by the ICC, no matter if Zimbabwe isn't a member.
Stewie O' Riordan, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
Mugabe demanded that they lift sanctions, the US, EU, UK and many other western countries. Sounds like his bank account is wearing thin and he needs money frozen in the foreign banks. Good! Maybe he and First Shopper Grace will know what its like to go hungry.
Stewie O' Riordan, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
Isn't amazing that mugabe demands the West stops "meddling" and then immediately put both hands out for more $$ & we know where THAT will go. So if they want $$ the west gets its say. Simple really! STOP PAYMENT! Food aid only and keep looking for the stashed billions. Lets see who blinks first.
Su, Dallas, USA
Mugabe cannot be tried by the International Criminal Court because Zimbabwe is not a signatory to the ICC ie Mugabe abd Co do not recognise its legitimacy
Steve, Pretoria,
What did you expect?
He's done it before and Mugabe will do it again.
Mr Tsvangirai had better get out of the country now whilst he is still alive.
Just remember what has taken place in the past.
Mugabe will stop at nothing to retain control.
He will kill anyone who gets in his way.
Martin Briggs, Heversham, England
You can't cure an abscess without draining pus. Mugabe is the pus. We should cut aid to zero immediately except for food supplies distributed by aid organisations. If Mugabe can't feed his army they will depose him and aid postpones that event. If China wants to colonise Zimbabwe let them.
Mark, Leicester, UK
Zimbabwe will never make progress while Mugabe retains any form of power. It's about time the people started sorting this out themselves. It shouldn't be up to outside countries / institutions. If I was eating rats I'd be thinking about killing somebody.
Tony, Bristol, England
Arrest Mugabe and his entourage now, while they are in New York. It's your big chance to get rid of him. He's been indicted for crimes against humanity by the International Court in the Hague so why not just arrest him?
Sarah, Ottawa, Canada
For a country where the common people are eating roots and starving the opposition leader, Tsvangarai, looks remarkably well nourished. Has he really been at the 5 star restaurants with the Generals? Remember - Mugabe was once the hope of Zimbabwe. Be careful of what you wish for - you my get it!
John, Parafield,
How much more can this country take, let the Africans sort it out and not EU/USA troops, time Africa sorted its mess?
bill foy, Liverpool, UK
Anyone who ever thought this sharing of power would work must be living in cloud cuckoo land, like mbeki!!
Alan, Chelmsford, United Kingdom
Daahh, do you think so? Did people really believe with Mugabe still alive that there will be any change in Zimbabwe. I feel sorry for the innocent people of Zimbabwe, but no aid until Mugabe's out.
Richard, Ivybridge,
This will be the first test of the new South African Government. If they let Mugabe get away with this they will forever have a problem. Now is the time to act decisively (ie just like Mbeki did not for the past 9 years!).
David Ashton, Bathurst , Australia
Of course he will blame the rest of the world and will tout that line to his 'beloved people'. They will beleive him, if they don't, his thugs will set them right. We should provide aid, but only under our control. We take it where it's needed and give it out, not leave it up to him to distribute
Ron, Milton Keynes, UK
No surprises here then! Tsvangirai should never have trusted the despotic Mugabe.
Peter Hargreaves, Stockport, England
why can't he be arrested when he is out of the country? surely he is a criminal and is committing crimes against humanity? how can he even be allowed to address the UN? what a complete farce, the people of Zimbabwe must think the world has forgotten them...
Susan Barrett, Taunton, Somerset
I thought Mugabe said the West can go hang, and the we are not needed or wanted. These are targeted sanctions only, I was in SA in the 80's under sanctions and they do work, keep them in place long enough and his own people will eventually turn on him . You time is up Robert - GO or face the music!
Winston Smith, Edinburgh, UK
There is no way on earth Mugabe will ever willingly relinquish power. Anyone who thinks he will is a naive fool.
CA, Manchester, UK
This was all too predictable, alas. The Zimbabwean people's only way out, in my humble view, is to 'take the bull by the horns' and overwhelm their oppressors.
They have to ask themselves, 'What have we got to lose now'?
Shirley Bowen, Blackpool, UK
How many years has it been since the controversial land grab that reduced food production and led to the demise of the economy? Still they do nothing. Why not pressure South Africa? If they won't sanction Zimbabwe, sanction them.
Neil, Norwich, UK
Responsibility to protect anyone? No that was destroyed by Iraq, not all Bush/ Blairs fault though. Blame most UN member nations who were looking for an excuse to get out of supporting RTP due to its financial consequences I.E. spending money without getting anything back but their conscience.
Alastair, London,
This constant obsession in the UK with the vilification of Mugabe smacks of propoganda to me. Sour grapes even. The sun set on the empire a long time ago, so lets stop meddling in the old colonies. It just makes us look pathetic.
Alex, London, UK
Did anyone really think it would be any different?
Matthew , Dubai,
Frankly, I wouldn't give a penny to aid Zimbabwe or any other of the corrupt African countries - why should I?
John, Bexhill on Sea, UK
If Zanu-PF retain control of either home affairs or finance then Zimbabwe will get no aid from the West. That is the minimum for aid to be given.
Stephen, St. Ives, England
Gee. What a surprise.
Bruce Northwood, Washington, D.C. , USA
There is no way anything in Zimbabwe will improve until Mugabe and his bunch of cronies are out of power and preferably where they belong, "behind bars". Of course they want sanctions lifted; their bank accounts must be rather depleted by now.
Alan Lewis, Bangkok, Thailand
i donät mugabe can claim to have outwitted anyone if the outcome is that his "beloved" people are eating rats to survive. no-one is winning here!
matty, frankf, germany
im less surprised about this thing failing than i am about tsvangari agreeing to it in the first place.
at some point the zimbabwean people will do what the romanians did and rise up. would anybody shed a tear if mugabe ended up like ceaucescu?
will, grimsby, uk
Mr. Mugabe, you demand that the west lifts sanctions? Proof to them that you want to work with the MDC then they can do it.
If this power sharing deal collapses, it will be chaos. God help Zimbabwe.
Robert McNulty, Queens, New York, USA
Children have to eat rats while Mugabe takes a retinue of 54 to New York. When will this obscene farce end?
John , Canterbury, UK