Grainne Gilmore
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Homeowners have been forced to wipe nearly £3,000 off their asking prices during the peak house-buying season as sellers outnumber buyers by 15 to 1.
The seizure in the UK housing market has pushed the asking price of an average home down by 1.2 per cent to £239,564 during June, according to Rightmove, the property website.
It also emerged today that UK property transactions in the UK slumped by more than a third in May.
About 100,000 deals on properties worth more than £40,000 took place last month, according to estimates from HM Revenue and Customs, down from 158,000 in May last year.
Simon Rubinsohn, chief economist at the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS), said: "These numbers clearly highlight the very real pressure on the residential property market.
"Indeed, the RICS suspects that the level of activity will fall further over the coming months. A drop in property of this magnitude will have an impact on household spending on durable goods as well as on jobs with both estate agent and those working in ancillary areas increasingly under threat."
The parlous state of the housing market was further highlighted by a near-60 per cent fall in the number of new houses being built as home builders struggled to attract new buyers.
The National House Building Council, which has 20,000 registered house builders on its books, said there were 6,890 new starts in the private sector in May, compared with 15,713 this time last year.
However, the lack of affordable mortgages available to new buyers, one of the key drivers of the housing slump, is set to continue, experts say.
Halifax, the UK's biggest lender, increased its rates again at the weekend, while most of the big lenders are now refusing to offer deals to buyers who do not have a large deposit.
The fall in asking prices this month is the biggest decline recorded for June, Rightmove said, and the number of sellers per buyer has doubled since last year when it was 7 to 1.
Howard Archer, chief UK and European economist at Global Insight, the economic consultancy, said: "Against this backdrop, Global Insight forecasts house prices to fall by 12 per cent in both 2008 and 2009, before essentially flattening out in 2010."
He added: "This highlights the fact that house sellers' bargaining power is currently becoming ever more limited and that buyers now very much have the upper hand - if they can afford to buy a house and can get a mortgage."
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While the amount of housing available may be (somewhat) known, there is huge uncertainty about the net level of migration,the degree to which family members cohabit, level of future separations etc. Thus forecasting future housing shortages or surplus in nonsense.
rob, london,
Repeating the bad news on housing is not news any more. All it achieves is to panic and depress home owners and it is affecting the price of housing. This is exactly the process, but in reverse, that caused the recent property boom and financial disaster. PM Brown should take note.
Jim Wills, Brisbane, Australia
It's garbage that demand was responsible for increasing house prices - house prices were encouraged to boom to stave of a recession by allowing folks to release equity and create a 'false' economy; so much was admitted by Eddie George (ex-gov BofE) a number of months ago. FACT: Too much greed.
Pete, Leeds, United Kingdom
The value of your house has only reduced if you have to sell. So, unless you have to sell, just wait. If you need more space, consider getting planning permission for an extension. In the end, house prices will continue rising - cost of building is increasing and available land reducing.
Peter, Guildford,
I just sold a one bedrom flat in Brighton - we did it up and last year the agents said it was worth 200K. To sell it we slashed the price to 150k - then the buyer was gazumped for 160K! - I bought it for 44k in 2003 - So I took 20% less than the crazy peak prices - am I sad - not really
Andrew, brighton,
Mike, Bristol. Prices are set at the margins - in a slump by forced sales and BTL investors bailing out. Already in my street a property bought for 220k in 2005 has sold at auction for 150k. A 35% fall and the crash has hardly started yet.
Graham, Oxford, UK
Warn the public? Has anyone heard the warning about "irrational exuberance" before? Did not seem to work!
Estate agents & those with a vested interest keep telling you get in now before its too late. Have you ever heard anyone say -well it could fall. Of course not they just want the fees
Jason Pearson, Toronto, Canada
I agree with Mike Bristol, a few months ago the issue of not enough supply to meet future demand was being constantly warned about. This still exsists. With builders currently scaling down new developments supply shortage will surely increase pushing up prices once the credit crunch is over.
Sulinder Singh, Iver Heath,
Most people can see wherever they live, that house prices became glouriousley overvalued. Judging by recent monthly house price surveys the downward correction is now well under way. What is the point in buying property today when you can be paying 5-10% less in twelve months time.
John, North Wales,
If I knew the future, I wouldn't waste my money on property speculation, I'd just do the lottery.
To all those who claim to know one way or the other........get real, you know nothing.......what will be, will be.
David, Paris, France
Dream on Mike Bristol. After the largest credit expansion in history there is no quick fix.. The days of cheap credit and high loan/value ratios are over. Affordability is taking a major hit and house prices will eventually have to reflect this. Expect a 50% drop over 5 years. It's unavoidable
Jonny, Huntsville, USA
Well said, Mike Bristol, cloud cuckoo is another word I would use. BTL investors will be sweeping in to take up any flak. Those with enough equity i n their portfolios, and there are hundreds will have a field day. With continued upward rental increases its win win win in alot of cases.
Nick Duncan, Marbella, Spain
The Government, the FSA and The Bank of England should have warned the public of the dangers of excessively high house price inflation seen over recent years. They should also have told the Banks and Building Socities to curb their irresponsible lending. We are now living with the consequences.
Brian Hill, Bristol,
Builders are overloaded with property/ land bought at the top w/o long term finance agreed. Banks need capital and don't want more bad loans on their books. A) Builders are liquidated! or B) Banks arrange finance in return for builders selling 30-40%+ of their holdings. Ugly either way IMHO
Ian, Madison, USA
There never was a housing shortage, it was just another untruth perpetuated by nulabour's propoganda machine
David H, London,
Remember that a lot of the figures are worked out on completed matters and transactions are at present taking about 4 months to go through. As a property lawyer, if I look at new matters taken on in the last few months (that have actually sold, matters are extremely bad for those employed in housin
jackie, portsmouth, england
Anyone holding out for a 40 to 50% fall in price is living in fantasy land. There is no shortage of demand, only the shortage of cheap mortgages. Most new builds have been mothballed so demand will be even higher once the credit crunch eases. Any home owner with a brain is going to sit it out.
Mike, Bristol,
At last people are realising that this will be the UK housing market crash to end all crashes. If prices can rise 180% over a decade they can certainly fall 50% or more after the cheap credit is withdrawn and inflation and unemployment hit home. UK shafted by Brown, now we get a DEPRESSION.
chris, brighton,
prices will continue to fall in the housing market until prices get back to a realistic level, ie 40 to 50% lower than what they are now. The last decade has never happened before in human history and now we are going to pay for it in waves. Hyperinflation depression by end of 2010.
Steve, Edgware, UK
I agree Christopher, we are our worst enemy in the UK.
If you read the same things day in day out, then you start to believe it. I'm not saying that things are rosy, far from it, but it's not that bad.
nick, grantham,
Can anyone please explain how we have a housing shortage, when even last year - before the crash - there were seven sellers for every buyer and the figure is now quoted as 15 to 1.
I am confused!
Eddie Hooper, Gravesend, England
Great - the media stoking up fear in the country yet again!
Christopher Purdy, Luxembourg,
I would have thought that now is the time for local Councils to build houses which can be rented out . Many house builders have very little to do and will be only too pleased to take on any work . The government should put its money where its mouth is and make cheap loans available to councils.
Martin, London, GB
If i want to make money in the Resident housing market, I would wait for another 18months. Rightnow, energy is the place to be
Lin, London,
So much for the housing shortage. What a load of nonsense. People were buying houses because they were going up in value. Now they are falling no one wants one. Guess what, oil is the new property. Listen to all the rubbish being spoken about shortages there too.
Simon, London, UK
Another hole in the Treasury coffers!
Michael, London,